Tag Archives: fifa

10 items you must include in every successful list

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  1. An inspiring item for people to use in their retweets
  2. One item everyone can actually understand but cannot be physically accomplished
  3. One item everyone really should do but is completely outside the budget
  4. One item everyone will do because it’s easy though ineffective
  5. One item everyone wishes they could do but can’t because it’s too complicated
  6. One item that everyone already does
  7. One really stupid item that makes the reader feel smarter you
  8. At least one synergistic item that is engaging and leverages story telling using web 2.0
  9. At least one item that references BP, the Old Spice guy, statistics about Octopus Paul, or some other topical item that will get you a lot of hits when you put it in your tag list
  10. A really funny item at the end that will make people retweet and share the list even though it’s as stupid as this list

Photo credit: xololounge from morguefile.com

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    Paul the Octopus, Phd in Statistics, Lettered in football

    [tweetmeme source=”lovestats” only_single=false]The normal curve is an enigma for many people. We speak of good luck and bad luck, hope that we always have good and then curse when it turns out bad. Like when Cinnabon is closed on the same day you forgot to eat breakfast.
    So far, Paul the Octopus has had a lot of good luck in predicting World Cup match winners. Perhaps he always goes for the food that is closest to him or the food that is in the best light or the food that moved most live-like or the food next to his preferred tentacle. I’m assuming, of course, that like humans who prefer left or right, Paul too has his own tentacle preferences. I’m also assuming that he isn’t juiced up or taking bribes.

    Wouldn’t it be great fun if someone could collect up all the relevant variables and run some predictive modeling? Time of day, day of week, feeding schedule, lightness, location, direction, colour, and who knows what other selection criteria are of supreme importance to our eight legged friend. What kind of r square do you think we would get? 0.3? 0.8? Woah… too far into geeky stats there.

    As fun as it is to listen to the Oracle of Paul, he won’t defy the odds. He’ll just take his rightful place on the normal distribution whether it’s on the extreme right or just slightly to the left of right. But I know we’re all hoping for the extreme right.

    In Paul we trust.

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